Projections, Datasets, and Tools

The reports on this page provide updated climate projection information, datasets, as well as the technical basis for the tools developed or enhanced for the Fourth Assessment.

Climate, Drought, and Sea Level Rise Scenarios for California's Fourth Climate Change Assessment

Pierce et al.

This report provides high-resolution projections of future climate and hydrological parameters of importance to the energy system as well as probabilistic and hourly sea level rise projections, stream flows at select locations, and extended drought scenarios.

File Size: PDF 8.6 mb |
Report #: CCCA4-CEC-2018-006 |
Published: August 27, 2018
Wildfire Simulations for California's Fourth Climate Change Assessment: Projecting Changes in Extreme Wildfire Events with a Warming Climate

Westerling

This report provides wildfire scenarios that incorporate impacts of climate change.

File Size: PDF 2.9 mb |
Report #: CCCA4-CEC-2018-014 |
Published: August 27, 2018
Projected Changes in California's Precipitation Intensity-Duration-Frequency Curves

AghaKouchak et al.

This report provides projected changes in extreme precipitation events in California.

File Size: PDF 3 mb |
Report #: CCCA4-CEC-2018-005 |
Published: August 27, 2018
Statistical Prediction of Minimum and Maximum Air Temperature in California and Western North America

Dias et al.

This report improves our understanding of probabilistic forecasts, which have the potential to improve energy system management in California’s variable and changing climate.

File Size: PDF 3.2 mb |
Report #: CCCA4-CEC-2018-011 |
Published: August 27, 2018
Subseasonal to Seasonal Temperature Prediction Skill over the California Region from Global Dynamical Forecasts

Zhang et al.

This report improves our understanding of subseasonal and seasonal forecasts of climate-related variables of importance for managing California’s natural gas system.

File Size: PDF 2.5 mb |
Report #: CCCA4-CEC-2018-010 |
Published: August 27, 2018
Cumulative Global CO₂ Emissions and Their Climate Impact from Local through Regional Scales

Franco et al.

This report contributes to our understanding of the relationship between global greenhouse gas emissions and regional climate impacts in California that allows the estimation of potential impacts with the Paris Agreement.

File Size: PDF 2.4 mb |
Report #: CCCA4-EXT-2018-007 |
Published: August 27, 2018
Projected Changes in Precipitation, Temperature, and Drought Across California's Hydrologic Regions

He et al.

This report investigates potential changes in future precipitation, temperature, and drought across 10 hydrologic regions in California to inform adaptation strategies.

File Size: PDF 1.4 mb |
Report #: CCCA4-EXT-2018-002 |
Published: August 27, 2018
Cal-Adapt: Linking Climate Science with Energy Sector Resilience and Practitioner Need

Thomas et al.

This report provides an interactive tool enabling exploration, visualization, and analysis of data portraying climate-related risks to the energy system.

File Size: PDF 1.5 mb |
Report #: CCCA4-CEC-2018-015 |
Published: August 27, 2018
Future scenarios of land change based on empirical data and demographic trends (Externally Published)

Sleeter et al.

This externally-published supporting research developed an approach for projecting changes in land use and land cover based on land use histories and demographic trends.

File Size: PDF 0.3 mb |
Published: Externally